Price Controls and the Pharmaceutical Industry – Part II

 

 

In Part I of this series, we discussed the history of the pharmaceutical industry and learned that Europe used to dominate the market. It has only been since the turn of the twenty-first century that the United States has taken over domination of the industry. Today, we will discuss how this change came about.

Sally Pipes’s new book “The World’s Medicine Chest: How America Achieved Pharmaceutical Supremacy―and How to Keep It” (2025, Encounter Books), examines the policies and economic forces that helped the United States overtake Europe as the global leader in drug innovation.

Jonathan Miltimore, writing in The Epoch Times, explains what happened. He says, “It’s no mystery why this happened. As Charlie Munger famously said, “Show me the incentive, and I’ll show you the outcome.”

The quote highlights a point that Pipes understands well. She argues that the decline of Europe’s pharmaceutical industry was “a direct and predictable result” of price control schemes.

Companies are far less likely to spend billions on R&D if they aren’t allowed to charge enough to recover their investment and fund future breakthroughs. With the average R&D cost of new drugs hovering at about $2 billion, even modest limits on expected returns can tip the risk-reward balance and deter investment in promising but uncertain therapies. (Pipes, citing journalist Matthew Herper, notes that the median cost is closer to $6 billion.)

While “obscene” pharmaceutical profits dominate today’s headlines, Pipes points out that 90 percent of all U.S. prescriptions are for generic drugs—the highest percentage in the world. Meanwhile, strong patent protection and flexible pricing have fueled innovation, leading to a steady pipeline of new treatments and medical breakthroughs. This framework, as Pipes describes it, is a “collaboration between public and private entities,” which preserves financial incentives for pharmaceutical companies while harnessing the strengths of both sectors to drive innovation and bring new therapies to market.

While the U.S. currently enjoys pharmaceutical hegemony, Pipes points out that the U.S. appears driven to make the same errors as Europe. The Inflation Reduction Act, passed in 2022, “green-lit price controls in the Medicare market for the first time.” In 2026, the federal government will begin setting prices on medicines for the first time. At the same time, the pharmaceutical industry is growing increasingly unpopular, and not just with Democrats hostile to corporate profits.

“Just 13 percent of Republicans supported the pharmaceutical industry in 2023, down from 45 percent in 2020,” Pipes writes.

All of this, Pipes contends, stands to destroy the pharmaceutical innovation that for generations has improved the lives of Americans (and countless people who reside in countries that freeload on America’s entrepreneurial system while capping prices at home).

Pipes rightly warns that federal price controls would be a disaster. Undermining the incentive structure that has produced so many life-saving drugs would be a grave mistake. But it’s worth asking whether such a path becomes inevitable once the federal government moves beyond its constitutional role of protecting individual rights and becomes a primary funder of medical research and a dominant purchaser of treatments.

That was Europe’s trajectory—something that Pipes makes clear—and it’s hard to see how the United States avoids a similar outcome without deeper structural reforms than the ones proposed in this book. The real question is which is more important; cheaper drugs or more innovative drugs that treat diseases today that were untreatable yesterday?

Price Controls and the Pharmaceutical Industry – Part I

 

Everyone knows that the United States is the leading developer of new pharmaceutical drugs. But I was surprised to learn it was not always that way. In fact, in the 1980s, Europe dominated the global pharmaceutical market. How did this change?

Jonathan Miltimore, writing in The Epoch Times, gives us an important history lesson on the pharmaceutical industry. He says, “It may surprise some today that a European company launched the world’s first AIDS treatment, but in the 1980s, it made sense: Europe dominated the global pharmaceutical market, introducing 129 novel drugs in the late ’80s, compared with just 77 in the United States.”

Europe no longer rules the Rx roost, however. Today, the U.S. dominates pharmaceutical innovation and sales, accounting for roughly half of all new drugs, compared with just 22 percent for European firms.

Sally Pipes’s new book “The World’s Medicine Chest: How America Achieved Pharmaceutical Supremacy―and How to Keep It” (2025, Encounter Books), examines the policies and economic forces that helped the United States overtake Europe as the global leader in drug innovation.

To say that the U.S. won pharmaceutical supremacy might be generous. Pipes, president of the free market Pacific Research Institute, spends the first few chapters of her book showing how European countries fumbled away their dominance through bad policies, particularly a fondness for price controls.

Price controls have been failing for thousands of years, and Pipes shows in painstaking detail how these policies destroyed the incentive structure necessary for drug innovation.

To be fair to Europeans, their decision to resort to price controls didn’t happen in a vacuum. They were largely the byproduct—a “natural consequence,” in Pipes’s words—of a different government scheme: universal health care.

Within a decade of establishing the National Health Service, the UK introduced the Voluntary Price Regulation Scheme (1957), a policy framework designed to control the prices of prescription drugs. The bureaucracy’s role soon expanded to include determining what was a “reasonable” amount of profit for a company to make. France and Germany followed, passing their own price control schemes in the late 1980s and early 1990s, and by 2004, every European country had price controls on prescription drugs.

Pipes shows that the sky didn’t fall in Europe immediately. For a while, everything seemed fine. Europeans enjoyed cheaper drugs, although accessibility was occasionally an issue because of price controls. Meanwhile, the continent continued to enjoy pharmaceutical dominance, outpacing the United States in pharmaceutical research and development (R&D) spending, employment, and sales.

As late as 1995, European companies still made up half of the world’s 20 largest pharmaceutical firms by revenue. Yet the writing was already on the wall. The golden age of European pharma was coming to an end, a development that even the EU had anticipated. “It is hard to escape the conclusion that the United States, rather than Europe, is now the main base for pharmaceutical research and development for therapeutic innovation,” the European Commission glumly concluded in 1994.

The EU Commission was not incorrect in its pessimism. By 2002, U.S. companies held claim to 60 percent of global pharmaceutical profits, compared with less than 20 percent for European companies. By 2004, the United States was attracting 80 percent of total R&D spending.

To her credit, Pipes considers other possible explanations for Europe’s pharmaceutical stagnation, including the idea that it stems from the United States’ “world-leading university system.” But as she notes, the data complicate that theory: European scientists published 120,000 pharmaceutical papers from 2017 to 2019—far more than the 72,000 published in the United States—yet relatively little of it translates into viable drugs or commercial breakthroughs (at least in the European market).

Why did this happen? We’ll discuss that in our next post.

ObamaCare Enriches Insurance Companies

 

“ObamaCare really is a gift that keeps on giving – for insurers.”  Those are the words of The Wall Street Journal editorial board.

For months we’ve been hearing about the waste, fraud, and abuse of Medicaid and I’ve written extensively on that subject. (See recent archived articles.) But now we see that there’s another healthcare insurance program that is wasting taxpayers’ money.

ObamaCare was created when The Affordable Care Act was passed in 2010 by Democrats without a single Republican vote. It was implemented in 2014 and was intended to provide lower cost healthcare premiums to millions of Americans. President Obama promised at the time that this new healthcare system would save every American $2500 per year. This was one of several promises made by Obama that went unfulfilled.

The reality is that the cost of healthcare insurance has gone up for everyone who does not qualify for government subsidies. But the Biden administration increased the rolls of those with government subsidies in 2021 by lowering financial eligibility limits. The WSJ editors tell us enrollment has since doubled while taxpayer costs rose by 150%. Spending on ObamaCare subsidies has increased faster than Medicaid or Medicare since 2020 – if you can believe it. Democrats tout this blowout of government-subsidized healthcare as a triumph.

But here’s the really wild part: More than a third of all enrollees generated no medical claims last year, according to Paragon’s analysis. That includes 40% of those in plans that are fully subsidized. Between 2021 and 2024, the number of enrollees who didn’t use their health coverage more than tripled to 11.7 million from 3.5 million.

The Paragon Institute reports that taxpayers are subsidizing the insurance for nearly 12 million people who never use their coverage. As Paragon explains, tens of billions of dollars in subsidies for these 11.7 million enrollees “went to insurers and middlemen without funding a single medical service.” After individuals enroll in plans, the government pays monthly premium subsidies directly to the insurers. Even most healthy people have some sort of medical claim in a year. Why don’t these ObamaCare enrollees?

As Paragon earlier documented, insurance brokers have been fudging incomes of people in order to enroll them in government-subsidized plans for which they aren’t eligible, often without their knowledge. The Biden Administration facilitated such fraud by easing income verification and eligibility checks.

Paragon estimates that about 6.4 million people this year were improperly enrolled in exchange plans. The Justice Department has charged several brokers with enrolling consumers in ObamaCare plans for which they weren’t eligible in order to obtain commissions. In other words, insurance companies are stealing from the American taxpayer by falsifying income data in order to make ineligible people eligible for government subsidies.

What is being done about this?

This is why Republicans in their tax bill strengthened income verifications for ObamaCare plans. Democrats claim such measures will cause millions of people to lose coverage. But many of them don’t need or use their insurance. Many were ineligible for this coverage in the first place. Some are enrolled in employer plans or Medicaid. The subsidies pad the profits of insurers – at the expense of taxpayers.

The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services last month found that 1.6 million Americans each month last year were enrolled in both Medicaid and subsidized ObamaCare plans. Insurers might respond that they aren’t profiting from such phantom and duplicate enrollees because ObamaCare requires them to spend at least 80% of premium dollars on medical care. Democrats intended this rule as a de facto profit cap. But insurers have circumvented this by increasing payments to providers, pharmacies and middle-men they own.

WSJ editors say,If insurers don’t benefit from the sweetened subsidies, why are they protesting their expiration at the end of this year? Insurers say their expiration could result in sicker risk pools. Their concern seems to be that reduced subsidies and the tax bill’s stricter income verifications will result in fewer phantom enrollees who don’t use their insurance. Forgive us for being old-fashioned, but why should taxpayers subsidize insurance for healthy people who don’t need or use it?”